Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 15.681225 17.709696 19.917801 22.502638 25.449000 28.706841 32.587664
2025-02-23 12.267915 14.942045 18.094784 22.097420 27.060163 33.032259 40.795617
2025-03-02 10.039791 13.004899 16.736744 21.803634 28.542973 37.252910 49.450526
2025-03-09 8.561340 11.679410 15.826413 21.788406 30.211143 41.790273 59.096199
2025-03-16 7.436347 10.606510 15.028287 21.709153 31.658585 46.101320 68.971571
2025-03-23 6.800037 10.096173 14.895856 22.483269 34.341986 52.441555 82.683173
2025-03-30 6.113609 9.403980 14.381096 22.571957 35.938898 57.281616 94.718695
2025-04-06 5.417168 8.599019 13.578013 22.072670 36.485115 60.455907 104.406632
2025-04-13 4.863295 7.946628 12.924812 21.706642 37.155765 63.851024 114.879956
2025-04-20 4.570071 7.681464 12.861019 22.302900 39.517285 70.410140 131.967158
2025-04-27 4.331612 7.477937 12.869862 23.011008 42.143050 77.748921 151.602127
2025-05-04 4.060593 7.185645 12.687178 23.340083 44.089963 84.047799 170.126682
2025-05-11 3.689835 6.686413 12.100035 22.881413 44.541654 87.661036 184.054584
2025-05-18 3.371891 6.252389 11.588616 22.510742 45.127907 91.644161 199.499907
2025-05-25 3.100713 5.878190 11.149642 22.228757 45.855194 96.016185 216.559831
2025-06-01 2.890453 5.599388 10.864087 22.220774 47.151247 101.772359 237.790145
2025-06-08 2.694377 5.328165 10.563902 22.143063 48.279462 107.306124 259.450737
2025-06-15 2.603227 5.259253 10.664951 22.935173 51.451293 117.940081 295.678540
2025-06-22 2.453715 5.054071 10.460560 23.026383 53.017042 125.016534 324.046619
2025-06-29 2.266053 4.749848 10.014614 22.516615 53.086580 128.461092 343.326215
2025-07-06 2.107745 4.493677 9.646839 22.142831 53.430870 132.622399 365.312364
2025-07-13 2.038593 4.426943 9.691489 22.751957 56.310400 143.719351 409.257363
2025-07-20 1.981470 4.381530 9.779220 23.475343 59.581957 156.351318 460.284909